Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000199 0.000223 0.000248 0.000277 0.000309 0.000344 0.000385
2025-02-16 0.000165 0.000196 0.000232 0.000276 0.000329 0.000389 0.000465
2025-02-23 0.000139 0.000175 0.000218 0.000274 0.000344 0.000430 0.000542
2025-03-02 0.000118 0.000155 0.000203 0.000268 0.000353 0.000462 0.000612
2025-03-09 0.000103 0.000142 0.000193 0.000265 0.000365 0.000499 0.000691
2025-03-16 0.000091 0.000131 0.000185 0.000265 0.000380 0.000539 0.000777
2025-03-23 0.000082 0.000123 0.000179 0.000266 0.000395 0.000581 0.000868
2025-03-30 0.000074 0.000114 0.000172 0.000264 0.000406 0.000616 0.000953
2025-04-06 0.000068 0.000108 0.000168 0.000266 0.000421 0.000658 0.001051
2025-04-13 0.000062 0.000102 0.000163 0.000266 0.000434 0.000698 0.001149
2025-04-20 0.000057 0.000095 0.000157 0.000262 0.000439 0.000727 0.001231
2025-04-27 0.000054 0.000094 0.000158 0.000272 0.000468 0.000794 0.001382
2025-05-04 0.000051 0.000090 0.000156 0.000276 0.000488 0.000851 0.001524
2025-05-11 0.000047 0.000086 0.000153 0.000278 0.000506 0.000907 0.001669
2025-05-18 0.000044 0.000082 0.000149 0.000278 0.000519 0.000953 0.001803
2025-05-25 0.000040 0.000076 0.000143 0.000272 0.000522 0.000983 0.001909
2025-06-01 0.000037 0.000072 0.000138 0.000271 0.000531 0.001026 0.002043
2025-06-08 0.000034 0.000069 0.000135 0.000271 0.000545 0.001076 0.002197
2025-06-15 0.000032 0.000066 0.000133 0.000272 0.000560 0.001131 0.002365
2025-06-22 0.000030 0.000063 0.000129 0.000270 0.000569 0.001175 0.002514
2025-06-29 0.000028 0.000061 0.000127 0.000272 0.000584 0.001233 0.002697
2025-07-06 0.000027 0.000058 0.000124 0.000272 0.000598 0.001287 0.002879
2025-07-13 0.000025 0.000055 0.000120 0.000268 0.000601 0.001322 0.003019